Russia will take a more direct approach in its effort to capture Ukrainian cities after plans to encircle targets such as Kyiv have been frustrated, according to a NATO military official.
“We’re seeing a change in strategy from the Russian side … They’re less focused on encircling cities, more concentrated trying to go in,” the unnamed official told CNN.
“[Heavier] bombardment is a side effect of that shift,” the official said.
Russia’s slow advance and heavy losses suffered in the first few days of its invasion have forced the change, the official said, with Russian forces now hamstrung by logistical issues as they attempt to push further into Ukraine.
“It’s the whole logistical chain that is somehow not working [properly],” the NATO official said. “So what we’ve seen is really poor strategy, combined with bad preparation and dwindling morale.”
“They have no food, they lack fuel and also spare parts,” they added.
While a staunch Ukrainian resistance is largely responsible for stymying the Russian advance, the NATO official warned that the situation on the ground could change rapidly and that “expectations” should be “managed.”
The Ukrainians will tire while Russia still has fresh reserves, the official warned. “Russia can still escalate further,” they said.
The official added there is still a chance the Belarusian military could join the offensive.
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